@misc{Lexicon of Arguments, title = {Quotation from: Lexicon of Arguments – Concepts - Ed. Martin Schulz, 29 Mar 2024}, author = {Pinker,Steven}, subject = {Bayesianism}, note = {I 304/305 Definition Bayes-Formel/Pinker: chances in two competing hypotheses can be calculated using only two numbers 1. Initial probability: how safe is the hypothesis before any data are considered? 2. "likelihood" assumes the hypothesis is true, how likely is it that the evidence we have actually occurs? Then take the initial probabilities for both hypotheses and the likelihood and divide the two numbers. that is the probability of applying the first hypothesis. >Hypothesis, >Likelihood, >Chance, >Probability, >Conditional Probability, >Probability-Conditional, >Subjective Probability, >Probability theory, >Probability distribution.}, note = { Pi I St. Pinker How the Mind Works, New York 1997 German Edition: Wie das Denken im Kopf entsteht München 1998 }, file = {http://philosophy-science-humanities-controversies.com/listview-details.php?id=204080} url = {http://philosophy-science-humanities-controversies.com/listview-details.php?id=204080} }