Lexicon of Arguments

 Philosophical and Scientific Issues in Dispute
 
[german]


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Beck-Bornholdt/Dubben Der Hund, der Eier legt,Reinbek 2002
I 196
Simpson's Paradox/Beck-Bornholt/Dubben: with the help of Simpson's Paradox a result can be transformed into its opposite.
E.g. Grouping: for reasons of prudence a new drug is given just a quarter of the patients in "Old Town", while in "New Town" three-quarters of them get it. And that is correctly documented. Lets suppose that the old medicine is clearly better. - In the publication, both cities are grouped together. So the result is reversed.
That is often done to not expose hospitals with bad healing statistics.
>Statistics, >Method.
Solution: division into groups.
I 200
Mistake: E.g. to put old non-smokers together with young smokers.

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