Philosophy Lexicon of Arguments

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Bayesianism: perceives probability as the degree of a belief. See also subjective probability, objective probability, chance, likelihood.
 
Author Item Excerpt Meta data
Pinker, Stephen
 
Books on Amazon
Bayesianism I 304/305
Definition Bayes-Formel/Pinker: chances in two competing hypotheses can be calculated using only two numbers - 1. Initial probability: how safe is the hypothesis before any data are considered? - 2. "likelihood" assumes the hypothesis is true, how likely is it that the evidence we have actually occurs? - Then take the initial probabilities for both hypotheses and the likelihood and divide the two numbers. that is the probability of applying the first hypothesis.

Pi I
St. Pinker
Wie das Denken im Kopf entsteht M√ľnchen 1998


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Ed. Martin Schulz, access date 2017-04-24