Economics Dictionary of Arguments

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Risks: Risks are the possibility of something considered negative happening. The assessment of risks influences current actions. While the corresponding events lie in the future, the risks exist in the present. See also Predictions, Knowledge, Actions, Behavior, Certainty, Future.
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Annotation: The above characterizations of concepts are neither definitions nor exhausting presentations of problems related to them. Instead, they are intended to give a short introduction to the contributions below. – Lexicon of Arguments.

 
Author Concept Summary/Quotes Sources

Nick Bostrom on Risks - Dictionary of Arguments

I 284
Risks/time/delay/superintelligence/technology/Bostrom: There are several quite strong reasons to believe that the riskiness of an intelligence explosion will decline significantly over a multidecadal timeframe. >Control/superintelligence/Bostrom
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(1) One reason is that a later date leaves more time for the development of solutions to the control problem. It is plausible that the state of the art will advance greatly over the next several decades; and if the problem turns out to be very difficult, a significant rate of progress might continue for a century or more. The longer it takes for superintelligence to arrive, the more such progress will have been made when it does.
(2) Another reason why superintelligence later might be safer is that this would allow more time for various beneficial background trends of human civilization to play themselves out. >Ethics/morality/Bostrom, >Norms/Bostrom.

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Explanation of symbols: Roman numerals indicate the source, arabic numerals indicate the page number. The corresponding books are indicated on the right hand side. ((s)…): Comment by the sender of the contribution. Translations: Dictionary of Arguments
The note [Concept/Author], [Author1]Vs[Author2] or [Author]Vs[term] resp. "problem:"/"solution:", "old:"/"new:" and "thesis:" is an addition from the Dictionary of Arguments. If a German edition is specified, the page numbers refer to this edition.

Bostrom I
Nick Bostrom
Superintelligence. Paths, Dangers, Strategies Oxford: Oxford University Press 2017


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